Springsteen isn’t a “critical patriot,” he’s a partisan hack, but I love him anyway

Statue of Liberty replica on pedestal with inscription honoring fallen heroes under dark cloudy sky

For a man who claims to be driven by principle, he has an odd habit, one dating back to the 1980s, of only entering the fray when a Republican is in office, either sleeping through Democrat Presidencies or somehow believing all our problems are solved when we elect a Democrat. “I believe in critical patriotism,”… Continue reading Springsteen isn’t a “critical patriot,” he’s a partisan hack, but I love him anyway

No, Iran isn’t the same as before and they’re certainly not stronger

Two abstract human figures fighting on a broken chessboard with scattered chess pieces and crumbled architectural ruins around them.

Unless they’re the equivalent of an alien organism out of a science fiction film, not subject to any of the normal limitations of government, economics, or military might, the death of a leader in power for almost forty years and a trillion in damage will have an effect. As we continue to celebrate America’s 250th… Continue reading No, Iran isn’t the same as before and they’re certainly not stronger

The Iran deal isn’t perfect, but its detractors have no plan and there’s an old expression that something’s better than nothing

Chessboard with metal pieces representing geopolitical and trade concepts

Is the Memorandum of Understanding a staggering defeat as the critics suggest or a less than ideal path forward for a conflict that has been simmering for almost 50 years? To hear detractors tell it, President Donald Trump’s Memorandum of Understanding with Iran is nothing short of a humiliating defeat, an appeasement of if not… Continue reading The Iran deal isn’t perfect, but its detractors have no plan and there’s an old expression that something’s better than nothing

Is Trump really desperate for a deal in Iran or is time much more on our side than widely reported?

Wooden king chess piece on a chessboard under a focused light.

Why would a man that’s supposed to be desperate beyond belief to end hostilities with any kind of deal, refuse one that was on the table, and make a reasonably big show of going back and forth about it? According to conventional wisdom, President Donald Trump is desperate to make a deal with Iran.  Like… Continue reading Is Trump really desperate for a deal in Iran or is time much more on our side than widely reported?

The midterms still favor the Democrats, but not by much and much remains impossible to predict

Red and blue electric energy streams crossing over cracked rocky terrain

Democrats are offering Republicans an opportunity that they probably don’t deserve at this point, but as we all know, deserve has nothing to do with it. While there are clear historical trends favoring Democrats in the midterms and it’s no secret that President Donald Trump has chosen to launch a largely unpopular war that has… Continue reading The midterms still favor the Democrats, but not by much and much remains impossible to predict

Iran and the sunk cost fallacy

Map of Middle East with glowing tectonic plate boundaries outlining regions including Turkey, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and surrounding countries

Why are some unwilling to take half-a-loaf by forging a less than satisfying deal or even reverting to the status quo, making not getting the optimal outcome into an embarrassing defeat? While the conflict with Iran lumbers onward through an admittedly bizarre non-ceasefire ceasefire, some are arguing that we have only two options:  Either accept… Continue reading Iran and the sunk cost fallacy

The strange state of the conflict in Iran and why Republicans better hope something happens soon

Three abandoned rusted tanks in muddy battlefield with destroyed buildings in the background at sunset

The war has entered a sort of slow moving stasis rather than anything resembling the frenetic pace of the first five weeks and time is running out to pivot to the midterm elections. I’ll admit it upfront:  I didn’t expect the Iran War to devolve into a non-ceasefire ceasefire for almost a full month.  While… Continue reading The strange state of the conflict in Iran and why Republicans better hope something happens soon

Iran: The experts have been wrong about almost everything

Operations room with cracked digital map of the Middle East showing countries and regions

It’s almost impossible to know where to begin with the sheer multitude of increasingly hysterical claims regarding both the day to day performance of our campaign and the broader economic and geopolitical repercussions, many of which were ridiculous from the start. As the conflict in Iran enters the third week of a shaky ceasefire with… Continue reading Iran: The experts have been wrong about almost everything

Iran: Is it all over but the crying?

Line graph showing stock index growth from January to June 2024 with 18.7% increase

While we remain at war, why do the markets seem optimistic about the future when they should be pessimistic in the face of these concerns, and is this an optimism that can last or simply a calm in the storm?  Though last weekend’s peace talks in Islamabad, Pakistan failed to produce a deal between the… Continue reading Iran: Is it all over but the crying?

Trump, Swalwell, and shamelessness as a political super power

Four people in superhero costumes wearing campaign sashes standing in a room with skeletons and campaign signs

While we might like to believe there are rules to the great game, there are none except doing everything possible to advance your own and your party’s power. Earlier this week, President Donald Trump posted an AI-generated image of himself as a religious figure healing the sick.  He was dressed in robes with glowing hands,… Continue reading Trump, Swalwell, and shamelessness as a political super power