Confessions of a Conservative Atheist
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It’s almost impossible to know where to begin with the sheer multitude of increasingly hysterical claims regarding both the day to day performance of our campaign and the broader economic and geopolitical repercussions, many of which were ridiculous from the start. As the conflict in Iran enters the third week of a shaky ceasefire with… Continue reading Iran: The experts have been wrong about almost everything
While we remain at war, why do the markets seem optimistic about the future when they should be pessimistic in the face of these concerns, and is this an optimism that can last or simply a calm in the storm? Though last weekend’s peace talks in Islamabad, Pakistan failed to produce a deal between the… Continue reading Iran: Is it all over but the crying?
While there’s nothing wrong with indulging in a little fantasy, political prognostication is supposed to be more than mental masturbation, and the same as a sane person wouldn’t consider retirement scenarios that included suddenly being as wealthy as Elon Musk, we shouldn’t consider fantastical outcomes as a basis for rational discussion. Tony Soprano once claimed… Continue reading If Tony Soprano’s “remember when” is the lowest form of conversation, “if then” is the lowest form of political prognostication
The ceasefire is shaky, but we know this: After what everyone said wouldn’t happen, magically happened, they still concluded that what happened was bad, all without missing a beat. It’s impossible to capture the insanity that President Donald Trump’s detractors attempted to pass off as wisdom over the past five weeks in a single post,… Continue reading Trump, Iran, and the art of the impossible deal
As France joins forces with Russia and China at the United Nations, and makes a deal with Iran, supporters of the NATO alliance argue that it is a purely defensive affair. In that case, what purpose does it serve in the modern world? In one of the ironies that seem to increasingly define the modern… Continue reading NATO just turned 77, but is it going down in the Strait of Hormuz?
Given the choice between pursuing wholesale regime change or making a deal that can be improved in the future, I’d take my chances with the deal and hope that like Sauron in Lord of the Rings, Iran’s evil can be diminished such that it will never rise again even if it can’t be destroyed. “For… Continue reading Iran: A crucial lesson from Lord of the Rings
Last week, they claimed killing any enemy’s leadership only prolongs a war. On Monday, they claimed the President lied about engaging in talks with Iran. On Tuesday, they insisted we should not have talks at all, pretending Iran is the same now as it was before the war. On Monday, President Donald Trump announced that… Continue reading Iran: As Trump switches into deal making mode, did everyone forget that we’ve been at war for more than three weeks?
The sight, however symbolic, of the Arab Nations joining traditional European, North American, and Asian allies along with their long term adversary Israel in a joint mission would be something no one has ever seen before, perhaps as important as Teddy Roosevelt’s Great White Fleet was way back in 1907. Last week, the media was… Continue reading The Trump Armada
From the Revolutionary War to World War II, setbacks have been a reality, but perhaps never before has the United States dominated so objectively compared to the naysaying of detractors who are content to repeat Iranian propaganda and prefer to praise the Iranian regime. George Washington has the dubious distinction of having lost more battles… Continue reading Iran: One thing is clear, we better hope we’re never in a war with a real global power because half the country would surrender in a week
Confessions of a Conservative Atheist 