The midterms still favor the Democrats, but not by much and much remains impossible to predict

Red and blue electric energy streams crossing over cracked rocky terrain

Democrats are offering Republicans an opportunity that they probably don’t deserve at this point, but as we all know, deserve has nothing to do with it. While there are clear historical trends favoring Democrats in the midterms and it’s no secret that President Donald Trump has chosen to launch a largely unpopular war that has… Continue reading The midterms still favor the Democrats, but not by much and much remains impossible to predict

The strange state of the conflict in Iran and why Republicans better hope something happens soon

Three abandoned rusted tanks in muddy battlefield with destroyed buildings in the background at sunset

The war has entered a sort of slow moving stasis rather than anything resembling the frenetic pace of the first five weeks and time is running out to pivot to the midterm elections. I’ll admit it upfront:  I didn’t expect the Iran War to devolve into a non-ceasefire ceasefire for almost a full month.  While… Continue reading The strange state of the conflict in Iran and why Republicans better hope something happens soon

Iran: The experts have been wrong about almost everything

Operations room with cracked digital map of the Middle East showing countries and regions

It’s almost impossible to know where to begin with the sheer multitude of increasingly hysterical claims regarding both the day to day performance of our campaign and the broader economic and geopolitical repercussions, many of which were ridiculous from the start. As the conflict in Iran enters the third week of a shaky ceasefire with… Continue reading Iran: The experts have been wrong about almost everything

Iran: Is it all over but the crying?

Line graph showing stock index growth from January to June 2024 with 18.7% increase

While we remain at war, why do the markets seem optimistic about the future when they should be pessimistic in the face of these concerns, and is this an optimism that can last or simply a calm in the storm?  Though last weekend’s peace talks in Islamabad, Pakistan failed to produce a deal between the… Continue reading Iran: Is it all over but the crying?

Trump, Iran, and the art of the impossible deal

Peace symbol made of cracked stone with glowing fiery cracks

The ceasefire is shaky, but we know this: After what everyone said wouldn’t happen, magically happened, they still concluded that what happened was bad, all without missing a beat. It’s impossible to capture the insanity that President Donald Trump’s detractors attempted to pass off as wisdom over the past five weeks in a single post,… Continue reading Trump, Iran, and the art of the impossible deal

The Orange Man is so bad, progressives can’t even celebrate the daring rescue of a soldier behind enemy lines

Eight fighter jets flying in formation over desert dunes at sunset

In an ideal world, I would prefer a media that was honest and objective, an opposition that was principled and reasonable, and detractors who could criticize without outright fantasizing. Last Friday, the situation for two US airmen in Iran was dire after their F-15E fighter jet was shot down deep in enemy territory, setting off… Continue reading The Orange Man is so bad, progressives can’t even celebrate the daring rescue of a soldier behind enemy lines

Reminder: The media and the experts always predict disaster when Trump is involved

U.S. Capitol building under a dark sky with a tornado, lightning, and heavy rain.

In his second term alone, there have been panicked freakouts about his plans to trim the size of government, tariffs, other taxes, military strikes, and more.  While this time might be different, I wouldn’t bet against the President. While I have no special ability to foresee the future and am well aware that past results… Continue reading Reminder: The media and the experts always predict disaster when Trump is involved

Iran: As Trump switches into deal making mode, did everyone forget that we’ve been at war for more than three weeks?

Iran Peace Talks

Last week, they claimed killing any enemy’s leadership only prolongs a war. On Monday, they claimed the President lied about engaging in talks with Iran. On Tuesday, they insisted we should not have talks at all, pretending Iran is the same now as it was before the war. On Monday, President Donald Trump announced that… Continue reading Iran: As Trump switches into deal making mode, did everyone forget that we’ve been at war for more than three weeks?

No, killing your enemy’s leadership isn’t a sure fire way to lose a war whatever the experts claim

General George S. Patton

The legendary General George S. Patton once quipped, “No dumb bastard ever won a war by going out and dying for his country. He won it by making some other dumb bastard die for his country,” but the experts have suddenly decided otherwise based on at least two false assumptions. On Tuesday, Israel reported that… Continue reading No, killing your enemy’s leadership isn’t a sure fire way to lose a war whatever the experts claim

Whether Iran’s new Supreme Leader is dead or alive, injured or healthy, in Iran or Russia, is perhaps the most important unanswered question of the war so far

President George W. Bush galvanized the country by throwing out the first pitch at the World Series in 2001. Contrary to the stunning lack of curiosity among the experts and the mainstream media, the visibility of a country’s leaders matter, especially in a time of war. On October 30, 2001, President George W. Bush galvanized… Continue reading Whether Iran’s new Supreme Leader is dead or alive, injured or healthy, in Iran or Russia, is perhaps the most important unanswered question of the war so far