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Iran: The experts have been wrong about almost everything
It’s almost impossible to know where to begin with the sheer multitude of increasingly hysterical claims regarding both the day to day performance of our campaign and the broader economic and geopolitical repercussions, many of which were ridiculous from the start. As the conflict in Iran enters the third week of a shaky ceasefire with…
Iran: Is it all over but the crying?
While we remain at war, why do the markets seem optimistic about the future when they should be pessimistic in the face of these concerns, and is this an optimism that can last or simply a calm in the storm? Though last weekend’s peace talks in Islamabad, Pakistan failed to produce a deal between the…
Trump, Swalwell, and shamelessness as a political super power
While we might like to believe there are rules to the great game, there are none except doing everything possible to advance your own and your party’s power. Earlier this week, President Donald Trump posted an AI-generated image of himself as a religious figure healing the sick. He was dressed in robes with glowing hands,…
The choice facing Iran, and the reality that most of us aren’t all hawk or all dove all the time
From where the average American sits, the choice facing the leaders of Iran seems like no choice at all, but after Saturday’s peace negotiations failed to produce a deal, it clearly is to the remnants of the regime and no one really knows what they will choose, however much they may bloviate otherwise. Throughout the…
If Tony Soprano’s “remember when” is the lowest form of conversation, “if then” is the lowest form of political prognostication
While there’s nothing wrong with indulging in a little fantasy, political prognostication is supposed to be more than mental masturbation, and the same as a sane person wouldn’t consider retirement scenarios that included suddenly being as wealthy as Elon Musk, we shouldn’t consider fantastical outcomes as a basis for rational discussion. Tony Soprano once claimed…
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