The midterms still favor the Democrats, but not by much and much remains impossible to predict

Red and blue electric energy streams crossing over cracked rocky terrain

Democrats are offering Republicans an opportunity that they probably don’t deserve at this point, but as we all know, deserve has nothing to do with it. While there are clear historical trends favoring Democrats in the midterms and it’s no secret that President Donald Trump has chosen to launch a largely unpopular war that has… Continue reading The midterms still favor the Democrats, but not by much and much remains impossible to predict

Reminder: Democracy continues to be whatever Democrats claim at the moment and that just happens to be what will make them more powerful

The U.S. Capitol building divided showing bright spring weather with green trees and water on one side and dark storm clouds, lightning, and rocky ground on the other

I’ve long maintained that politics is the pursuit of power, but it’s not everyday that politicians so clearly demand changing the rules of the game to suit their needs and democracy without rules isn’t democracy at all. Less than two weeks ago, Democrats were giddy that Virginia voters narrowly supported a referendum for a supposedly… Continue reading Reminder: Democracy continues to be whatever Democrats claim at the moment and that just happens to be what will make them more powerful

Iran and the sunk cost fallacy

Map of Middle East with glowing tectonic plate boundaries outlining regions including Turkey, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and surrounding countries

Why are some unwilling to take half-a-loaf by forging a less than satisfying deal or even reverting to the status quo, making not getting the optimal outcome into an embarrassing defeat? While the conflict with Iran lumbers onward through an admittedly bizarre non-ceasefire ceasefire, some are arguing that we have only two options:  Either accept… Continue reading Iran and the sunk cost fallacy

The strange state of the conflict in Iran and why Republicans better hope something happens soon

Three abandoned rusted tanks in muddy battlefield with destroyed buildings in the background at sunset

The war has entered a sort of slow moving stasis rather than anything resembling the frenetic pace of the first five weeks and time is running out to pivot to the midterm elections. I’ll admit it upfront:  I didn’t expect the Iran War to devolve into a non-ceasefire ceasefire for almost a full month.  While… Continue reading The strange state of the conflict in Iran and why Republicans better hope something happens soon

Why I don’t give a crap about the gerrymander wars

Brass balance scale with weights beside rolled scrolls and a quill

At this point, the only thing I really want to see is an end to the self-righteous sanctimony and an open admission that the gerrymander wars are what politics is always about, power, plain and simple. Last week Virginia upended the midterms by narrowly passing a referendum to the state constitution that allows for a… Continue reading Why I don’t give a crap about the gerrymander wars

Progressives have become what they claim to hate when it comes to promoting conspiracy theories at least

Old television with shattered screen showing news and mysterious glowing symbols

Ten years ago, progressives mocked conservatives when a relatively small percentage embraced a bizarre theory known as “Pizzagate,” but now, they reflexively claim every assassination attempt on President Trump is a conspiracy. Ten years ago, progressives were fond of mocking conservatives when a relatively small percentage of Trump supporters embraced a bizarre conspiracy theory known as… Continue reading Progressives have become what they claim to hate when it comes to promoting conspiracy theories at least

Iran: The experts have been wrong about almost everything

Operations room with cracked digital map of the Middle East showing countries and regions

It’s almost impossible to know where to begin with the sheer multitude of increasingly hysterical claims regarding both the day to day performance of our campaign and the broader economic and geopolitical repercussions, many of which were ridiculous from the start. As the conflict in Iran enters the third week of a shaky ceasefire with… Continue reading Iran: The experts have been wrong about almost everything

Iran: Is it all over but the crying?

Line graph showing stock index growth from January to June 2024 with 18.7% increase

While we remain at war, why do the markets seem optimistic about the future when they should be pessimistic in the face of these concerns, and is this an optimism that can last or simply a calm in the storm?  Though last weekend’s peace talks in Islamabad, Pakistan failed to produce a deal between the… Continue reading Iran: Is it all over but the crying?

Trump, Swalwell, and shamelessness as a political super power

Four people in superhero costumes wearing campaign sashes standing in a room with skeletons and campaign signs

While we might like to believe there are rules to the great game, there are none except doing everything possible to advance your own and your party’s power. Earlier this week, President Donald Trump posted an AI-generated image of himself as a religious figure healing the sick.  He was dressed in robes with glowing hands,… Continue reading Trump, Swalwell, and shamelessness as a political super power

The choice facing Iran, and the reality that most of us aren’t all hawk or all dove all the time

Balance scales with crude oil barrel and cash on one side, globe and missile on the other

From where the average American sits, the choice facing the leaders of Iran seems like no choice at all, but after Saturday’s peace negotiations failed to produce a deal, it clearly is to the remnants of the regime and no one really knows what they will choose, however much they may bloviate otherwise.  Throughout the… Continue reading The choice facing Iran, and the reality that most of us aren’t all hawk or all dove all the time